"Research is seeing what everyone else has seen and thinking what nobody else has thought."
Albert von Szent-Györgyi Nagyrapolt - Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 1937
Context below for the research with links to each of my papers are found on the right navigation bar.
Evidence-Based Retirement Income planning, measurement and monitoring (research below) supported by Evidence-Based Investing.
Many Americans are increasingly worried about being able to enjoy a reliable income stream in retirement. Especially with volatile markets, this is a real concern for anyone approaching or in retirement. Rising health costs, increasing longevity and potential tax increases just add to the worry and uncertainty.
While Wall Street has tried to design products to address the problem of reliable income in retirement, such as annuities or target date funds, these tend to be incomplete solutions with similar results expected in the future. Such a product focus is akin to a retiree of the 80’s or 90’s depending on a product designed then to protect them now. Even defined benefit plans are coming under strain today.
Instead, I believe investors should recognize that retirement income is a dynamic and ongoing process and thus should have appropriate rules in place to make proper decisions as economic and market changes occur. In addition, retirement income should be planned in reverse without attempting to make forward predictions.
Many people believe retirement planning is the act of saving in a 401k, IRA or Roth. That is how you accumulate retirement resources. In truth, retirement planning is more about how to live on those retirement resources without outliving them. Here is research that explains how to do that without products, but with indexing. Also note that these papers address the investment portfolio measurement and monitoring aspects. In other words, how to manage portfolios for income that is ADDED to pension, Social Security, reverse mortgage, immediate annuity income, and other fixed sources of income for the total amount of income supporting and sustaining your Standard of Living.
While these papers can be a bit on the technical side, they have important implications for how to invest for and in retirement. I'm pleased to contribute to the body of knowledge of the profession while I seek to solve these retirement problems for my own clientele.
I apply this and other related research directly to your retirement income planning, either in pre- or post-retirement. Hence, my moto: To get you to, and through, retirement. My specialty is retirement income planning: how to plan for it while working, and manage it while retired.
I currently have 8 papers total (with links to each one at the top of the right navigation bar). Google Scholar also has most of these papers.
Larry and his colleagues have co-authored papers published in the Journal of Financial Planning (home page),
* one of the industry’s top blind peer-reviewed monthly publication that seeks to publish original scholarly articles covering all areas of financial services. The Journal’s subscribers are practitioners, academics and policy makers in the financial services industry. A systematic review process is in place to ensure the highest standards.
These papers discuss how a withdrawal rate for retirement income may change dynamically over time as a person ages through retirement. This dynamic change is compared to static application of withdrawal rates that have subsequent inflation adjustments to the initial dollar value. The research also investigates market declines, and how sequence risk in the markets (market uncertainty and volatility) may be addressed by retiree's in the future when they are living on their retirement savings.
These research papers demonstrate how to extend retirement income from a portfolio into very old ages, through 110-plus using longevity tables, without giving up control of the assets in an annuity until ages older than currently promoted.
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